Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.003343 0.003731 0.004136 0.004588 0.005080 0.005596 0.006178
2024-10-20 0.002655 0.003188 0.003776 0.004468 0.005258 0.006127 0.007152
2024-10-27 0.002280 0.002889 0.003587 0.004441 0.005448 0.006592 0.007983
2024-11-03 0.001976 0.002625 0.003396 0.004369 0.005551 0.006928 0.008644
2024-11-10 0.001762 0.002442 0.003275 0.004355 0.005701 0.007305 0.009342
2024-11-17 0.001573 0.002269 0.003146 0.004313 0.005801 0.007610 0.009950
2024-11-24 0.001470 0.002196 0.003135 0.004410 0.006068 0.008118 0.010809
2024-12-01 0.001302 0.002021 0.002976 0.004304 0.006064 0.008280 0.011235
2024-12-08 0.001192 0.001915 0.002899 0.004295 0.006181 0.008590 0.011847
2024-12-15 0.001152 0.001904 0.002948 0.004455 0.006520 0.009190 0.012839
2024-12-22 0.001083 0.001846 0.002927 0.004515 0.006723 0.009615 0.013610
2024-12-29 0.001041 0.001823 0.002953 0.004639 0.007013 0.010158 0.014543
2025-01-05 0.001003 0.001806 0.002989 0.004781 0.007339 0.010763 0.015582
2025-01-12 0.000894 0.001669 0.002841 0.004653 0.007282 0.010851 0.015935
2025-01-19 0.000821 0.001586 0.002766 0.004625 0.007362 0.011123 0.016536
2025-01-26 0.000745 0.001488 0.002665 0.004551 0.007371 0.011293 0.016998
2025-02-02 0.000689 0.001422 0.002606 0.004536 0.007463 0.011579 0.017620
2025-02-09 0.000632 0.001348 0.002531 0.004493 0.007509 0.011797 0.018151
2025-02-16 0.000608 0.001332 0.002549 0.004593 0.007770 0.012324 0.019120
2025-02-23 0.000546 0.001241 0.002437 0.004483 0.007709 0.012387 0.019433
2025-03-02 0.000508 0.001190 0.002390 0.004475 0.007800 0.012669 0.020061
2025-03-09 0.000502 0.001202 0.002450 0.004640 0.008162 0.013352 0.021275
2025-03-16 0.000479 0.001179 0.002447 0.004702 0.008364 0.013803 0.022157